V-Lab
Sabre Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
5,000.77
decreased by 100.95
1 Week
5,137.25
increased by 35.53
1 Month
5,278.73
increased by 177.01
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 62 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0274 | 6.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0768 | 8.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9121 | 90.92*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0264 | 4.18*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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