V-Lab
Sabre Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
4,356.68
1 Week
4,520.57
1 Month
4,741.80
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0640 | 4.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9187 | 484.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0087 | 0.32 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 5.64*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6506 | 16.03*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3494 | 2.00** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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