V-Lab
Sabre Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
4,276.37
increased by 78.41
1 Week
4,195.12
decreased by 2.84
1 Month
4,569.97
increased by 372.01
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 245 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 292% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4081 | 5.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0231 | 10.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9402 | 543.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0676 | 17.19*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
245 days
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