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Sabre Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

4,276.37

increased by 78.41

1 Week

4,195.12

decreased by 2.84

1 Month

4,569.97

increased by 372.01

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Sabre Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 245 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 292% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4081
5.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0231
10.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9402
543.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0676
17.19***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

245 days