V-Lab
Ralph Lauren Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
61.81
increased by 1.07
1 Week
61.54
increased by 0.80
1 Month
69.96
increased by 9.22
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1170 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0748 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9252 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0136 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
Other Ralph Lauren Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities