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Ralph Lauren Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

79.96

increased by 4.05

1 Week

77.23

increased by 1.32

1 Month

82.81

increased by 6.90

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ralph Lauren Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 623 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0880
8.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0663
13.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9326
194.98***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0049
-0.81
γ20.0107
0.95

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

623 days