How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.1526	8.82***
αARCH	0.0652	13.40***
βGARCH	0.9311	181.33***

γ₁	-0.0319	-3.65***
γ₂	0.0603	4.00***
γ₃	-0.0536	-3.68***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.1526	8.82***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0652	13.40***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9311	181.33***

γ₁	-0.0319	-3.65***
γ₂	0.0603	4.00***
γ₃	-0.0536	-3.68***

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Ralph Lauren Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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