Ralph Lauren Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
96.49
1 Week
93.84
1 Month
82.10
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0849 | 0.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8289 | 26.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0849 | -0.27 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1949 | 0.92 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0559 | 0.89 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9425 | 24.16*** |
Persistence:
0.871
Half-life:
5 days
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