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Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

95.48

decreased by 0.86

1 Week

92.94

decreased by 3.40

1 Month

84.74

decreased by 11.60

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ralph Lauren Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 337 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 106% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5603
8.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0383
23.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9393
850.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0405
15.16***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

337 days