Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
62.81
decreased by 1.99
1 Week
63.77
decreased by 1.03
1 Month
66.02
increased by 1.22
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 369 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~369 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5152 | 2.10** |
| αARCH | 0.0390 | 6.03*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9394 | 214.29*** |
| γleverage | 0.0394 | 3.70*** |
0.998
Persistence369d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5152 | 2.10** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0390 | 6.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9394 | 214.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0394 | 3.70*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
369 days
Other Ralph Lauren Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities