V-Lab
Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
77.40
increased by 1.71
1 Week
76.67
increased by 0.98
1 Month
79.24
increased by 3.55
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 352 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 103% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5411 | 2.14** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0387 | 5.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9393 | 213.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0400 | 3.73*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
352 days
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