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Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

67.07

increased by 0.14

1 Week

70.19

increased by 3.26

1 Month

74.89

increased by 7.96

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ralph Lauren Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 1997 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 356 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 102% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~356 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 102% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5347
2.12**
αARCH0.0389
5.98***
βGARCH0.9393
213.82***
γleverage0.0396
3.69***

0.998

Persistence

356d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5347
2.12**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0389
5.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9393
213.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0396
3.69***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

356 days