V-Lab
Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
79.94
decreased by 3.53
1 Week
79.71
decreased by 3.76
1 Month
85.21
increased by 1.74
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 343 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 106% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5563 | 8.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0384 | 23.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9394 | 853.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0405 | 15.15*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
343 days
Other Ralph Lauren Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities