V-Lab
Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
67.07
increased by 0.14
1 Week
70.19
increased by 3.26
1 Month
74.89
increased by 7.96
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 356 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 102% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~356 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 102% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5347 | 2.12** |
| αARCH | 0.0389 | 5.98*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9393 | 213.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.0396 | 3.69*** |
0.998
Persistence356d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5347 | 2.12** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0389 | 5.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9393 | 213.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0396 | 3.69*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
356 days
Other Ralph Lauren Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities