Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
95.48
decreased by 0.86
1 Week
92.94
decreased by 3.40
1 Month
84.74
decreased by 11.60
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 337 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 106% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5603 | 8.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0383 | 23.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9393 | 850.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0405 | 15.16*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
337 days
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