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Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

62.81

decreased by 1.99

1 Week

63.77

decreased by 1.03

1 Month

66.02

increased by 1.22

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ralph Lauren Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 369 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~369 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5152
2.10**
αARCH0.0390
6.03***
βGARCH0.9394
214.29***
γleverage0.0394
3.70***

0.998

Persistence

369d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5152
2.10**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0390
6.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9394
214.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0394
3.70***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

369 days