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Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

81.57

increased by 6.56

1 Week

78.20

increased by 3.19

1 Month

85.00

increased by 9.99

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ralph Lauren Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 344 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 106% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5564
8.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0384
23.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9393
853.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0406
15.18***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

344 days