V-Lab
Ralph Lauren Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
81.57
increased by 6.56
1 Week
78.20
increased by 3.19
1 Month
85.00
increased by 9.99
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 12, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 344 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 106% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5564 | 8.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0384 | 23.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9393 | 853.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0406 | 15.18*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
344 days
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