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Real REMAX Group Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

4,796.40

increased by 321.62

1 Week

4,344.89

decreased by 129.89

1 Month

4,281.93

decreased by 192.85

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Real REMAX Group Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 2021 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 34657 trading days (~137.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~34657 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0214
5.63***
αARCH0.1374
4.26***
βGARCH0.8626
26.77***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2220
-1.08

1.000

Persistence

34657d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0214
5.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1374
4.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8626
26.77***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2220
-1.08

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

34657 days