Real REMAX Group Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026
1 Day
4,758.27
increased by 622.60
1 Week
4,516.76
increased by 381.09
1 Month
4,386.26
increased by 250.59
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 16, 2021 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 248 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 229% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~248 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 229% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.11 |
| αARCH | 0.0482 | 2.76*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8937 | 72.78*** |
| γleverage | 0.1105 | 4.23*** |
0.997
Persistence248d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.11 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0482 | 2.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8937 | 72.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1105 | 4.23*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
248 days
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