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Real REMAX Group Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

4,758.27

increased by 622.60

1 Week

4,516.76

increased by 381.09

1 Month

4,386.26

increased by 250.59

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Real REMAX Group Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 2021 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 248 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 229% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~248 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 229% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.11
αARCH0.0482
2.76***
βGARCH0.8937
72.78***
γleverage0.1105
4.23***

0.997

Persistence

248d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.11
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0482
2.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8937
72.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1105
4.23***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

248 days