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Paycom Software Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

120.12

decreased by 5.50

1 Week

119.52

decreased by 6.10

1 Month

107.95

decreased by 17.67

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Paycom Software Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2014 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4260
9.50***
αARCH0.0832
9.33***
βGARCH0.8977
80.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0233
5.22***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4260
9.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0832
9.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8977
80.48***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0233
5.22***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days