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V-Lab

Paycom Software Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

150.08

decreased by 5.36

1 Week

164.49

increased by 9.05

1 Month

205.29

increased by 49.85

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Paycom Software Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4343
8.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0805
9.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9012
83.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0239
2.05**
γ20.0016
0.07

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

37 days