V-Lab
Paycom Software Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
225.63
decreased by 18.99
1 Week
247.06
increased by 2.44
1 Month
218.57
decreased by 26.05
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 38 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4458 | 9.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0817 | 9.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9003 | 81.95*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0255 | 5.86*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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