V-Lab
Paycom Software Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
215.76
1 Week
226.24
1 Month
195.18
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0764 | 9.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8887 | 167.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0678 | -2.39** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2090 | 65.34*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9968 | 503.43*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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