Paycom Software Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
191.13
1 Week
184.20
1 Month
172.22
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0742 | 9.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8902 | 170.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0689 | -2.48** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2070 | 69.92*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9968 | 534.47*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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