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Paycom Software Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

218.54

decreased by 5.94

1 Week

231.81

increased by 7.33

1 Month

206.33

decreased by 18.15

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Paycom Software Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 118 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 116% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4720
13.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0502
19.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9150
501.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0580
11.05***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

118 days