V-Lab
Paycom Software Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
133.49
decreased by 6.27
1 Week
148.72
increased by 8.96
1 Month
187.41
increased by 47.65
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 116 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 123% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4678 | 12.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0478 | 19.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9169 | 518.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0586 | 11.43*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
116 days
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