V-Lab
Paycom Software Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
218.54
decreased by 5.94
1 Week
231.81
increased by 7.33
1 Month
206.33
decreased by 18.15
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 118 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 116% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4720 | 13.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0502 | 19.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9150 | 501.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0580 | 11.05*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
118 days
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