Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Paycom Software Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

105.42

decreased by 6.32

1 Week

102.94

decreased by 8.80

1 Month

103.16

decreased by 8.58

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Paycom Software Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2014 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 124% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~113 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 124% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4946
3.25***
αARCH0.0483
4.84***
βGARCH0.9157
126.99***
γleverage0.0597
2.88***

0.994

Persistence

113d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4946
3.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0483
4.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9157
126.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0597
2.88***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days