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V-Lab

Orsted AS Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

6,834,330.00

increased by 902.00

1 Week

6,904,119.33

increased by 70,691.33

1 Month

7,426,663.78

increased by 593,235.78

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Orsted AS ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7457
4.07***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8912
2.45**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-52.5984
-0.75

0.891

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7457
4.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8912
2.45**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-52.5984
-0.75

Persistence:

0.891

Half-life:

6 days