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V-Lab

Orsted AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

3,526,613.00

increased by 2,201,319.00

1 Week

2,234,907.00

increased by 909,613.00

1 Month

2,117,746.00

increased by 792,452.00

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Orsted AS ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1791
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3301
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1340
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0100
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0990
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4680

Persistence:

0.576

Half-life:

1 days