V-Lab
Orsted AS ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
3,526,613.00
1 Week
2,234,907.00
1 Month
2,117,746.00
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1791 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3301 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1340 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0100 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0990 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4680 |
Persistence:
0.576
Half-life:
1 days
Other Orsted AS Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities