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V-Lab

Oculis Holding AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

7,245.47

increased by 1,135.09

1 Week

6,341.14

increased by 230.76

1 Month

6,941.26

increased by 830.88

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Oculis Holding AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4635
2.27**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2754
5.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6394
11.36***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-38.7825
-2.64***
γ255.9932
2.37**
γ3-30.5230
-1.87*
γ430.3945
1.96*
γ5-28.9374
-2.32**
γ614.8102
2.06**
γ7-2.7616
-0.50
γ80.1823
0.03
γ9-5.3589
-1.06
γ1017.5037
2.87***

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days