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Oculis Holding AG ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

5,157.12

increased by 719.40

1 Week

4,752.92

increased by 315.20

1 Month

6,259.17

increased by 1,821.45

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Oculis Holding AG ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 55 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 55 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1822
4.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8363
112.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0621
-0.89
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0086
11.53***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9848
336.10***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days