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Zahrat Al Waha For Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 19th, 2026

1 Day

3,698.38

decreased by 26.67

1 Week

3,759.42

increased by 34.37

1 Month

6,462.52

increased by 2,737.47

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Zahrat Al Waha For ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 2017 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 57 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2206
5.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1946
12.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7932
50.82***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0440
2.17**

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days