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Racura Oncology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

369,630.20

decreased by 11,794.10

1 Week

303,081.80

decreased by 78,342.50

1 Month

293,039.36

decreased by 88,384.94

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Racura Oncology Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2016 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6598
3.96***
αARCH0.2336
6.11***
βGARCH0.6963
16.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-2.9037
-2.42**
γ24.6214
2.35**
γ3-5.8974
-3.45***
γ47.7169
4.62***
γ5-3.4589
-2.84***
γ6-0.3267
-0.39
γ7-0.1412
-0.14
γ8-0.2383
-0.19
γ93.0900
2.45**

0.930

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6598
3.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2336
6.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6963
16.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-2.9037
-2.42**
γ24.6214
2.35**
γ3-5.8974
-3.45***
γ47.7169
4.62***
γ5-3.4589
-2.84***
γ6-0.3267
-0.39
γ7-0.1412
-0.14
γ8-0.2383
-0.19
γ93.0900
2.45**

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days