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Racura Oncology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

312,272.90

decreased by 54,878.30

1 Week

270,893.28

decreased by 96,257.92

1 Month

200,765.42

decreased by 166,385.78

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Racura Oncology Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2016 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6571
3.90***
αARCH0.2345
6.13***
βGARCH0.6965
17.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-2.9722
-2.43**
γ24.7456
2.38**
γ3-5.9969
-3.46***
γ47.7328
4.59***
γ5-3.3766
-2.76***
γ6-0.3887
-0.45
γ7-0.1259
-0.12
γ8-0.2840
-0.23
γ93.1143
2.55**

0.931

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6571
3.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2345
6.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6965
17.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-2.9722
-2.43**
γ24.7456
2.38**
γ3-5.9969
-3.46***
γ47.7328
4.59***
γ5-3.3766
-2.76***
γ6-0.3887
-0.45
γ7-0.1259
-0.12
γ8-0.2840
-0.23
γ93.1143
2.55**

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days