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V-Lab

Racura Oncology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

89,410.07

decreased by 21,669.03

1 Week

141,875.07

increased by 30,795.97

1 Month

128,005.39

increased by 16,926.29

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Racura Oncology Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6367
3.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2378
6.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6969
17.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-3.3965
-2.54**
γ25.5069
2.51**
γ3-6.5601
-3.50***
γ47.7281
4.49***
γ5-2.8181
-2.26**
γ6-0.6523
-0.66
γ7-0.3566
-0.30
γ80.0184
0.02
γ92.0967
1.95*

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days