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Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

157.28

decreased by 11.25

1 Week

169.44

increased by 0.91

1 Month

220.10

increased by 51.57

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5175
αARCH0.2213
βGARCH0.7787
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.2784

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5175
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2213
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7787
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.2784

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-