Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

158.39

decreased by 1.56

1 Week

159.17

decreased by 0.78

1 Month

172.49

increased by 12.54

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 34 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8939
7.85***
αARCH0.1666
6.44***
βGARCH0.8132
33.63***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0120
-2.14**

0.980

Persistence

34d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8939
7.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1666
6.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8132
33.63***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0120
-2.14**

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days