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V-Lab

Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

192.95

decreased by 25.93

1 Week

238.62

increased by 19.74

1 Month

214.73

decreased by 4.15

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5415 trading days (~21.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0012
6.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2791
24.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7208
62.57***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0063
-0.52

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

5415 days