Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

151.57

increased by 15.01

1 Week

175.53

increased by 38.97

1 Month

288.47

increased by 151.91

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5590 trading days (~22.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0017
6.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2798
24.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7201
62.35***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0070
-0.57

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

5590 days