V-Lab
Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
151.57
increased by 15.01
1 Week
175.53
increased by 38.97
1 Month
288.47
increased by 151.91
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5590 trading days (~22.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0017 | 6.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2798 | 24.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7201 | 62.35*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0070 | -0.57 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5590 days
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