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Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

168.43

decreased by 36.05

1 Week

202.46

decreased by 2.02

1 Month

177.99

decreased by 26.49

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 102 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 149% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~102 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 149% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
3.04***
αARCH0.1232
4.56***
βGARCH0.7780
86.76***
γleverage0.1841
3.34***

0.993

Persistence

102d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1232
4.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7780
86.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1841
3.34***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

102 days