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V-Lab

Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

351.26

decreased by 21.94

1 Week

375.59

increased by 2.39

1 Month

286.87

decreased by 86.33

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 145% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
12.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1258
18.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7765
343.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1828
13.18***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

110 days