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V-Lab

Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

167.29

decreased by 24.15

1 Week

206.48

increased by 15.04

1 Month

210.98

increased by 19.54

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 104 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 149% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1237
4.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7774
86.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1844
3.34***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

104 days