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V-Lab

Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

170.52

increased by 26.20

1 Week

177.21

increased by 32.89

1 Month

279.28

increased by 134.96

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 105 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 147% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
12.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1249
18.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7768
344.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1835
13.25***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

105 days