V-Lab
Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
170.52
increased by 26.20
1 Week
177.21
increased by 32.89
1 Month
279.28
increased by 134.96
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 105 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 147% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 12.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1249 | 18.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7768 | 344.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1835 | 13.25*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
105 days
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