Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
351.26
decreased by 21.94
1 Week
375.59
increased by 2.39
1 Month
286.87
decreased by 86.33
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 10, 2012 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 145% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 12.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1258 | 18.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7765 | 343.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1828 | 13.18*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
110 days
Other Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities