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V-Lab

Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

192.30

decreased by 23.57

1 Week

233.57

increased by 17.70

1 Month

213.29

decreased by 2.58

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2595
14.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7255
53.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2595
-2.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
2.82***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8239
14.56***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.24

Persistence:

0.855

Half-life:

4 days