V-Lab
Guangzhou Devotion Thermal Technology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
192.30
1 Week
233.57
1 Month
213.29
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 10, 2012 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2595 | 14.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7255 | 53.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2595 | -2.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.82*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8239 | 14.56*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.24 |
Persistence:
0.855
Half-life:
4 days
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