Zahrat Al Waha For ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 19th, 2026
1 Day
3,217.19
1 Week
3,186.15
1 Month
6,012.08
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 22, 2017 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1888 | 0.11 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7480 | 8.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1888 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.9849 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2696 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7298 | 0.55 |
Persistence:
0.842
Half-life:
4 days
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