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Zahrat Al Waha For ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 19th, 2026

1 Day

3,217.19

increased by 13.85

1 Week

3,186.15

decreased by 17.19

1 Month

6,012.08

increased by 2,808.74

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of Zahrat Al Waha For ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 2017 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1888
0.11
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7480
8.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1888
-0.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.9849
0.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2696
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7298
0.55

Persistence:

0.842

Half-life:

4 days