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Zahrat Al Waha For Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 19th, 2026

1 Day

3,429.96

increased by 69.61

1 Week

3,490.31

increased by 129.96

1 Month

5,943.67

increased by 2,583.32

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Zahrat Al Waha For ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 2017 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 157 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 228% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0694
12.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8473
304.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1579
16.87***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

157 days