Aqualis ASA Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
20,145.43
decreased by 3,191.59
1 Week
27,889.01
increased by 4,551.99
1 Month
23,869.34
increased by 532.32
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 12:54 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 13, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2930 | 0.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8436 | 4.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2732 | -0.23 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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