V-Lab
Rendong Holdings Group Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
124.71
decreased by 5.15
1 Week
135.02
increased by 5.16
1 Month
164.37
increased by 34.51
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 28, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 146 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3117 | 2.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0167 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9358 | 179.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0854 | 5.70*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
146 days
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