Rendong Holdings Group Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
185.92
1 Week
222.63
1 Month
136.92
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 28, 2011 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.23 |
| αARCH | 0.2290 | 2.20** |
| βGARCH | 0.8500 | 28.97*** |
| γleverage | -0.1581 | -1.40 |
1.000
Persistence1386294d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.23 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2290 | 2.20** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8500 | 28.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1581 | -1.40 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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