V-Lab
Rendong Holdings Group Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
183.37
decreased by 4.96
1 Week
188.98
increased by 0.65
1 Month
146.78
decreased by 41.55
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 28, 2011 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 147 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3326 | 2.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0168 | 3.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9358 | 178.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0853 | 5.70*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
147 days
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