V-Lab
Rendong Holdings Group Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
109.18
increased by 10.27
1 Week
103.90
increased by 4.99
1 Month
115.06
increased by 16.15
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 28, 2011 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 148 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~148 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.2506 | 0.73 |
| αARCH | 0.0166 | 0.79 |
| βGARCH | 0.9358 | 44.72*** |
| γleverage | 0.0860 | 1.43 |
0.995
Persistence148d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2506 | 0.73 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0166 | 0.79 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9358 | 44.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0860 | 1.43 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
148 days
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