V-Lab
Rendong Holdings Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
55.44
decreased by 1.61
1 Week
69.68
increased by 12.63
1 Month
112.99
increased by 55.94
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 28, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1465 | 1.90* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5516 | 4.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3883 | 5.72*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -2.0379 | -9.77*** |
| γ2 | 3.2342 | 11.95*** |
| γ3 | -1.7476 | -3.12*** |
| γ4 | 1.2269 | 1.83* |
| γ5 | -0.6304 | -1.12 |
| γ6 | -1.2092 | -1.31 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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