V-Lab
Rendong Holdings Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
104.21
increased by 44.85
1 Week
65.33
increased by 5.97
1 Month
61.50
increased by 2.14
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 28, 2011 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.2540 | 1.80* |
| αARCH | 0.5531 | 4.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.3910 | 5.77*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -1.9941 | -9.10*** |
| γ2 | 3.1748 | 12.09*** |
| γ3 | -1.7315 | -3.23*** |
| γ4 | 1.2424 | 1.88* |
| γ5 | -0.6804 | -1.22 |
| γ6 | -1.1880 | -1.25 |
0.944
Persistence12d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2540 | 1.80* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5531 | 4.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3910 | 5.77*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -1.9941 | -9.10*** |
| γ2 | 3.1748 | 12.09*** |
| γ3 | -1.7315 | -3.23*** |
| γ4 | 1.2424 | 1.88* |
| γ5 | -0.6804 | -1.22 |
| γ6 | -1.1880 | -1.25 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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