V-Lab
Rendong Holdings Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
61.57
decreased by 16.56
1 Week
133.45
increased by 55.32
1 Month
120.41
increased by 42.28
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 28, 2011 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0634 | 1.98** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5528 | 4.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3819 | 5.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -2.0673 | -10.33*** |
| γ2 | 3.2747 | 11.76*** |
| γ3 | -1.7564 | -3.07*** |
| γ4 | 1.2117 | 1.81* |
| γ5 | -0.5960 | -1.07 |
| γ6 | -1.2220 | -1.37 |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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