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Nuveen Churchill DI LEN Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

6,001.46

decreased by 359.14

1 Week

6,081.33

decreased by 279.27

1 Month

6,263.83

decreased by 96.77

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Nuveen Churchill DI LEN Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 80 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9696
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1135
5.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8778
38.45***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0782
-0.25

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

80 days