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Nuveen Churchill DI LEN Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,497.58

decreased by 591.47

1 Week

5,788.68

decreased by 300.37

1 Month

5,758.70

decreased by 330.35

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Nuveen Churchill DI LEN Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 37% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.85
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0908
11.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8925
185.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0334
2.12**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-