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Nuveen Churchill DI LEN Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,554.02

decreased by 284.38

1 Week

5,743.97

decreased by 94.43

1 Month

5,883.93

increased by 45.53

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Nuveen Churchill DI LEN Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 25, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0550
40.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9406
620.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0014
-1.82*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5,366.8380

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

135 days