Nuveen Churchill DI LEN Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
4,188.66
1 Week
4,456.19
1 Month
3,941.75
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 25, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 13% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.0605 | 8.56*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9255 | 103.99*** |
| γleverage | 0.0078 | 2.54** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 6,348.8819 |
0.990
Persistence68d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0605 | 8.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9255 | 103.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0078 | 2.54** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6,348.8819 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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