XMAX Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
2,020.58
1 Week
1,812.86
1 Month
2,377.77
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 2011 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2476 | 9.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7879 | 313.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2089 | -12.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0093 | 13.56*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9896 | 1,488.07*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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