V-Lab
Naqi Water Company Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
9,034.17
decreased by 475.08
1 Week
8,027.30
decreased by 1,481.95
1 Month
6,284.02
decreased by 3,225.23
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2022 to Jul 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7059 | 6.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2073 | 7.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7541 | 26.16*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0124 | -0.20 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
Other Naqi Water Company Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities