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V-Lab

Naqi Water Company Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

6,638.18

decreased by 525.06

1 Week

7,025.65

decreased by 137.59

1 Month

5,681.77

decreased by 1,481.47

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Naqi Water Company ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2022 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7043
6.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2072
7.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7542
26.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0161
-0.25

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days