V-Lab
Naqi Water Company ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
8,104.84
1 Week
7,079.90
1 Month
5,468.29
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2022 to Jul 23, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2045 | 0.12 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7249 | 66.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2045 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.17 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1861 | 0.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8139 | 1.72* |
Persistence:
0.827
Half-life:
4 days
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