Skip to main content
V-Lab

Naqi Water Company Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

6,002.71

decreased by 441.23

1 Week

6,488.49

increased by 44.55

1 Month

4,944.44

decreased by 1,499.50

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Naqi Water Company ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2022 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 168 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 206% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.01**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0663
5.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8613
167.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1364
7.70***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

168 days