V-Lab
N-able Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
5,655.32
decreased by 88.24
1 Week
5,843.94
increased by 100.38
1 Month
5,439.35
decreased by 304.21
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 20, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1430 | 4.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0619 | 6.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9331 | 92.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0166 | 0.24 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
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