V-Lab
N-able Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3,459.81
decreased by 124.44
1 Week
3,679.80
increased by 95.55
1 Month
4,342.03
increased by 757.78
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 20, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 915 trading days (~3.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~915 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.50 |
| αARCH | 0.0558 | 2.44** |
| βGARCH | 0.9393 | 101.59*** |
| γleverage | 0.0084 | 0.22 |
0.999
Persistence915d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.50 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0558 | 2.44** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9393 | 101.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0084 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
915 days
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