V-Lab
N-able Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3,093.02
1 Week
3,301.06
1 Month
3,931.77
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 20, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 78 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.0682 | 7.28*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9201 | 82.99*** |
| γleverage | 0.0058 | 1.57 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 3,747.1548 |
0.991
Persistence78d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0682 | 7.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9201 | 82.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0058 | 1.57 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3,747.1548 |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
78 days
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