V-Lab
Malaysian Pacific Indus Bhd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
5,463.04
decreased by 363.70
1 Week
4,651.73
decreased by 1,175.01
1 Month
2,611.01
decreased by 3,215.73
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 921 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~921 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.9424 | 3.21*** |
| αARCH | 0.2314 | 11.58*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7679 | 38.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.3963 | -3.79*** |
| γ2 | 0.7016 | 4.81*** |
| γ3 | -0.4305 | -5.02*** |
| γ4 | 0.0724 | 0.77 |
| γ5 | 0.1277 | 0.94 |
| γ6 | -0.1108 | -0.48 |
| γ7 | -0.4722 | -0.87 |
| γ8 | 1.8550 | 1.58 |
0.999
Persistence921d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9424 | 3.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2314 | 11.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7679 | 38.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -0.3963 | -3.79*** |
| γ2 | 0.7016 | 4.81*** |
| γ3 | -0.4305 | -5.02*** |
| γ4 | 0.0724 | 0.77 |
| γ5 | 0.1277 | 0.94 |
| γ6 | -0.1108 | -0.48 |
| γ7 | -0.4722 | -0.87 |
| γ8 | 1.8550 | 1.58 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
921 days
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