V-Lab
Malaysian Pacific Indus Bhd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
3,276.08
increased by 328.31
1 Week
2,713.88
decreased by 233.89
1 Month
1,821.19
decreased by 1,126.58
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:47 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1543 trading days (~6.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8433 | 3.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2073 | 11.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7923 | 45.04*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.6021 | -3.12*** |
| γ2 | 0.8928 | 3.43*** |
| γ3 | -0.3012 | -1.85* |
| γ4 | 0.0676 | 0.39 |
| γ5 | -1.4653 | -2.17** |
| γ6 | 4.1047 | 2.22** |
| γ7 | -4.6026 | -2.18** |
| γ8 | 2.5105 | 2.13** |
| γ9 | -0.6770 | -1.50 |
| γ10 | -0.1661 | -0.61 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1543 days
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