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Malaysian Pacific Indus Bhd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

5,463.04

decreased by 363.70

1 Week

4,651.73

decreased by 1,175.01

1 Month

2,611.01

decreased by 3,215.73

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Malaysian Pacific Indus Bhd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 921 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~921 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9424
3.21***
αARCH0.2314
11.58***
βGARCH0.7679
38.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.3963
-3.79***
γ20.7016
4.81***
γ3-0.4305
-5.02***
γ40.0724
0.77
γ50.1277
0.94
γ6-0.1108
-0.48
γ7-0.4722
-0.87
γ81.8550
1.58

0.999

Persistence

921d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9424
3.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2314
11.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7679
38.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.3963
-3.79***
γ20.7016
4.81***
γ3-0.4305
-5.02***
γ40.0724
0.77
γ50.1277
0.94
γ6-0.1108
-0.48
γ7-0.4722
-0.87
γ81.8550
1.58

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

921 days