V-Lab
Momentum Group Ab Publ Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
4,725.60
decreased by 223.92
1 Week
5,177.19
increased by 227.67
1 Month
6,429.45
increased by 1,479.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 141 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3751 | 4.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0610 | 4.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9341 | 62.30*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0425 | -0.35 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
141 days
Other Momentum Group Ab Publ Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities