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V-Lab

Momentum Group Ab Publ ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

3,803.81

decreased by 232.73

1 Week

4,275.81

increased by 239.27

1 Month

5,512.34

increased by 1,475.80

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Momentum Group Ab Publ ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0919
8.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8522
94.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0919
-2.40**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
10.06***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9953
520.85***

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days