V-Lab
Momentum Group Ab Publ ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
3,803.81
1 Week
4,275.81
1 Month
5,512.34
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0919 | 8.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8522 | 94.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0919 | -2.40** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 10.06*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9953 | 520.85*** |
Persistence:
0.898
Half-life:
6 days
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