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Momentum Group Ab Publ Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

5,013.11

decreased by 253.86

1 Week

5,512.25

increased by 245.28

1 Month

6,575.45

increased by 1,308.48

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Momentum Group Ab Publ ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 31, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1385 trading days (~5.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 55% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.53
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0529
11.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9321
303.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0291
3.56***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1385 days