V-Lab
Momentum Group Ab Publ Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,013.11
decreased by 253.86
1 Week
5,512.25
increased by 245.28
1 Month
6,575.45
increased by 1,308.48
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 31, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1385 trading days (~5.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 55% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.53 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0529 | 11.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9321 | 303.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0291 | 3.56*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1385 days
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