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Methode Electronics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,941.72

decreased by 384.94

1 Week

6,481.61

increased by 154.95

1 Month

5,084.33

decreased by 1,242.33

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Methode Electronics Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 186 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5182
5.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1024
16.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8939
130.87***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.1543
-4.63***
γ20.3245
4.55***
γ3-0.2358
-4.08***
γ40.0853
2.88***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

186 days