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Methode Electronics Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,212.18

decreased by 207.64

1 Week

5,485.08

increased by 65.26

1 Month

4,658.95

decreased by 760.87

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Methode Electronics Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 94% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0522
22.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9233
728.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0491
10.98***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-