V-Lab
Methode Electronics Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
5,679.81
1 Week
6,298.23
1 Month
4,945.08
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1084 | 3.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8654 | 73.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1084 | -1.32 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.8757 | 9.70*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0362 | 6.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9620 | 73.07*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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