V-Lab
Juventus Football Club S.p.A. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
10,078.75
decreased by 36.05
1 Week
10,212.02
increased by 97.22
1 Month
10,540.92
increased by 426.12
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2001 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9169 | 0.21 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1472 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8528 | 0.09 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0118 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
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