V-Lab
Juventus Football Club S.p.A. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
11,290.48
increased by 2,230.80
1 Week
9,546.00
increased by 486.32
1 Month
10,708.53
increased by 1,648.85
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9384 | 0.18 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1510 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8489 | 0.08 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0121 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
Other Juventus Football Club S.p.A. Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities