V-Lab
Juventus Football Club S.p.A. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
12,060.94
increased by 662.61
1 Week
12,217.48
increased by 819.15
1 Month
13,899.38
increased by 2,501.05
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:50 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 137 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0327 | 4.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1555 | 18.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8394 | 110.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0379 | -4.46*** |
| γ2 | 0.0923 | 8.46*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
137 days
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