V-Lab
Juventus Football Club S.p.A. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
9,322.15
1 Week
9,490.59
1 Month
11,326.60
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1537 | 12.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8534 | 392.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0494 | -2.09** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1245 | 30.28*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 1,713.07*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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