V-Lab
Juventus Football Club S.p.A. Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
7,712.98
1 Week
7,275.54
1 Month
8,387.32
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 185% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9321 | 5.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0616 | 24.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8814 | 380.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1141 | 35.82*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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