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Jayshree Tea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,121.82

increased by 439.12

1 Week

4,313.97

increased by 631.27

1 Month

5,398.81

increased by 1,716.11

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jayshree Tea ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 620 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1839
7.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1551
3.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8438
20.09***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0178
-2.99***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

620 days