How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	5.0000	1.15
αARCH	0.0371	1.70*
βGARCH	0.8803	30.88***
γleverage	0.1432	9.05***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	5.0000	1.15
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0371	1.70*
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8803	30.88***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1432	9.05***

V-Lab

Jayshree Tea Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Jayshree Tea Analyses