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V-Lab

International Co FOR INV & DEV Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

3,612.23

decreased by 23.57

1 Week

3,859.27

increased by 223.47

1 Month

5,192.83

increased by 1,557.03

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of International Co FOR INV & DEV ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2008 to Jul 22, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 25 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3614
2.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1934
3.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7788
15.46***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8683
-1.90*
γ23.6598
2.25**
γ3-3.3506
-3.19***
γ43.5436
2.72***
γ5-4.3927
-2.23**
γ63.1674
1.75*
γ7-0.6847
-0.64
γ8-0.3696
-0.39
γ90.8097
0.72
γ10-0.8260
-0.76

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days