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International Co FOR INV & DEV Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

5,737.95

increased by 25.86

1 Week

5,748.03

increased by 35.94

1 Month

5,498.32

decreased by 213.77

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of International Co FOR INV & DEV ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2008 to Jul 22, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9659
495.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0682
13.53***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days