V-Lab
Ibotta Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
5,575.48
decreased by 267.43
1 Week
5,568.92
decreased by 273.99
1 Month
6,003.37
increased by 160.46
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 39 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1376 | 6.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0794 | 3.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9032 | 35.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0706 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
39 days
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