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V-Lab

Ibotta Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

5,575.48

decreased by 267.43

1 Week

5,568.92

decreased by 273.99

1 Month

6,003.37

increased by 160.46

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ibotta Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 39 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1376
6.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0794
3.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9032
35.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0706
0.31

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days